Raleigh will become the second-ever player to switch hit in the Derby ( Adley Rutschman in 2023, lost 2nd round), plus no catcher has ever won the derby. This is year 39 of the event, so odds are against Raleigh despite him being the favorite.

At +300, Raleigh is the favorite to win the 2025 HR derby, but Washington’s James Wood (+425) should also be a top contender, as he is truly delivering an impressive breakthrough season. Matt Olson (+800), who is replacing Acuna, will naturally be the favorite for the home crowd. Junior Caminero is a very tempting longshot, too, at +1200.

Our MLB betting picks and prop predictions for the 2025 Home Run Derby on Monday, July 14, 2025 from Truist Park, home of the Atlanta Braves.

Chisholm is too skinny. Caminero and Wood are too young, Raleigh is the current home run leader, and Cruz is the betting favorite. Our pick: Matt Olson (+900, FanDuel ). The joy of six! Julio Rodríguez, Randy Arozarena, Mitch Garner, Jorge Polanco and Cole Young homered and the Mariners doubled up the Tigers 8-4.

Neil Paine dug into the data to see which of the HR Derby contestants are built to hit dingers in Truist Park. The results may surprise you.

SportsLine's model is up 37.65 units on HR picks this season. Use its MLB picks for MLB sportsbook promotions like MLB profit boosts